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October 10, 2020

1,256 new COVID-19 cases, 10 more deaths in Virginia

The state has averaged 1,014 new COVID-19 new cases per day over the last week according to the Virginia Department of Health update Saturday morning.
Curbside Testing
• Where: Piedmont Urgent Care, 493 Blackwell Road, Warrenton

• When: 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. daily

• Process: Patients can remain in their vehicles while healthcare professionals collect samples with swabs.

• Organizers: Rappahannock-Rapidan Health District and local partners, including medical practices, Fauquier Health, the free clinic, PATH Foundation and local government.

• Phone: 540-347-5200

• COVID questions: 540-316-6302 or .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
Saturday morning COVID-19 update from the Virginia Department of Health:

995 total cases in Fauquier County since the pandemic began — up 2 from Friday.

157,905 Virginia cases — up 1,256 since Friday. The total includes 148,933 confirmed and 8,972 “probable” infections.

3,354 deaths statewide — up 10 from Friday. Of the total fatalities, the health department classifies COVID-19 as the confirmed cause in 3,116 and “probable” in 238.

2,238,204 diagnostic tests statewide — up 18,684 since Friday. Over the past seven days, 4.7 percent of those tests were positive, down slightly.

Statewide hospitalizations for COVID-19 over the course of the pandemic totaled 11,501 as of Saturday, up 54 since Friday.

But, the health department notes that its hospitalization figure — based on status at the time each case gets investigated — “underrepresents” the actual total.

Since the pandemic began, 18,447 “confirmed COVID-19 patients have been hospitalized and discharged,” according to the Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association.

State hospitals housed 943 infected patients Saturday, down 20 from Friday, according to the association.

That puts total Virginia hospitalizations during the pandemic at 19,390.

Virginia hospitalizations for COVID-19 peaked at 1,625 patients on May 8.

Healthcare providers and laboratories report statistics to the state as of 5 p.m. each day. The health department updates its report the following morning.

Fifty infected Fauquier patients have been hospitalized and 25 have died since the pandemic started.

In the Rappahannock-Rapidan Health District, which includes Fauquier:

• 1,240 cases (up 2), 94 hospitalizations and 18 deaths in Culpeper.

• 350 infections (up 2), 22 hospitalizations and 5 deaths in Orange.

• 117 infections (up 1), 8 hospitalizations and 3 deaths in Madison.

• 66 cases (unchanged), 5 hospitalizations and 2 deaths in Rappahannock.

The district has 53 COVID-19 deaths, and 179 infected patients have been hospitalized during the pandemic.

The health department reported 38,248 diagnostic tests in the district so far, up 214 from Friday. Over the last seven days, 4.2 percent of tests conducted in the five-county district were positive, down slightly.

Cases elsewhere in Virginia:

• 21,861 in Fairfax County — up 125 since Friday.

Prince William County, 13,079 — up 55.

Virginia Beach, 7,256 — up 52.

Loudoun County, 7,181 — up 44.

Chesterfield County, 6,349 — up 46.

Henrico County, 5,726 — up 26.

City of Norfolk, 5,045 — up 28.

City of Richmond, 4,904— up 33.

City of Chesapeake, 4,562 — up 29.

Arlington County, 4,170 — up 22.

City of Alexandria, 4,009 — up 32.

City of Newport News, 2,903 — up 12.

City of Harrisonburg, 2,820 — up 12.

City of Portsmouth, 2,664 — up 6.

Spotsylvania County, 2,150 — up 19.

Montgomery County, 2,317 — up 43.

City of Suffolk, 2,189 — up 17.

Stafford County, 2,138 — up 17.

City of Roanoke, 2,110 — up 99.
City of Manassas, 1,980 — up 1.

City of Hampton, 1,940 — up 17.

City of Lynchburg, 1,638 — up 25.

Rockingham County, 1,608 — up 7.

City of Charlottesville, 1,443 — up 5.

Hanover County, 1,433 — up 12.

Albemarle County, 1,426 — up 9.

Accomack County, 1,188 — unchanged.

Henry County, 1,172 — up 14.

James City County (including Williamsburg), 1,097 — up 6.

Nationwide as of Saturday:

7,665,266 cases — up 55,761.

• 213,759 deaths — up 990.

• 3,039,089 have recovered — up 17,837.

• 113.34 million tests conducted — up about 1.23 million.

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DougF · October 10, 2020 at 6:08 pm
Jerome, the article, like most news articles, is crafted to sell a story line and therefore only includes facts that support that story line. The tip-off is that it focuses on only one metric -- cases -- at the exclusion of all others.

We've learned that COVID-19 has a seasonal component. Now it has returned to all of Europe with case increases seen all over. Sweden's case increase is tiny compared to France, Spain, England, and the rest of Europe.


...Deaths are more relevant than cases. Deaths are remaining very low across Europe with recent IFRs (infection fatality rates) for different countries generally staying between .06% and .12%, or approximately the same range of the seasonal flu.

Sweden's daily deaths are low single digits with most days lower than 3 per day. By comparison, Sweden has a larger population than Virginia, and Virginia averaged 15 deaths per day the past two weeks.

In terms of the most relevant measure -- excess deaths per million, Sweden's measure is lower then all of its neighbors, save one. Additionally, Sweden overall mortality is about the same as the past five years. That is important because overall mortality is one of the best measures of the success of public health programs.

I shouldn't have to tell you this. Just a little bit of research on your part and you could easily find the answers yourself. If you stick with your favorite news sources you will remain hopelessly uninformed.
Jerome Fields · October 10, 2020 at 3:45 pm
DougF - What were you saying about Sweden?

"Sweden, where a shutdown-free pandemic response prompted a global debate, is seeing another wave of covid-19 cases, with the country’s state epidemiologist warning this week that it was heading in the “wrong direction” as winter approaches.

Sweden’s public health body recorded 554 new covid-19 cases Thursday — the highest since early July — and 417 on Friday, according to its online tracking tool, capping off what epidemiologist Anders Tegnell had warned would be a “record week” for new cases.

“It is slowly but surely going in the wrong direction in Sweden, even if the situation is not as serious as in other parts of Europe,” Tegnell said at a news briefing Thursday, according to the newspaper Svenska Dagbladet.

Unlike many other nations, Sweden has pursued a policy for containing the virus that avoided strict government measures and allowing many schools and restaurants to remain open. The success or failure of that policy is still being debated far beyond Sweden’s borders, where most countries implemented some form of lockdown."
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