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May 19, 2020

20 more COVID-19 cases reported in Fauquier

Tuesday morning statistics from the Virginia Department of Health.
Curbside Testing
• Where: Piedmont Urgent Care, 493 Blackwell Road, Warrenton

• When: 8 a.m. to 7 p.m. daily

• Criteria: Fever and/or symptoms of respiratory illness.

• Process: Patients who meet screening criteria will remain in their vehicles while healthcare professionals collect samples with swabs.

• Organizers: Rappahannock-Rapidan Health District and local partners, including medical practices, Fauquier Health, the free clinic, PATH Foundation and local government.

• More information: 540-316-6302 or .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
Tuesday morning COVID-19 update from the Virginia Department of Health:

243 cases in Fauquier County — up 20 since Monday.

32,145 Virginia cases — up 1,005 since Monday. The total includes 30,539 confirmed and 1,606 “probable” infections.

1,041 deaths statewide — up 27 since Monday.

Statewide hospitalizations for COVID-19 during the pandemic totaled at 3,904 as of Tuesday, up 82 from Monday.

State hospitals housed 1,497 infected patients as of Tuesday morning, down 5 from Monday, the Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association reported.

Healthcare providers and laboratories report statistics to the state as of 5 p.m. each day. The health department updates its report the following morning.

Twenty infected Fauquier patients have been hospitalized and five have died since the pandemic started.

In the Rappahannock-Rapidan Health District, which includes Fauquier:

• 452 cases and five deaths in Culpeper.

• 67 infections in Orange.

• 27 in and one death in Madison.

• 12 in Rappahannock.

The district has 11 COVID-19 deaths, and 59 infected patients have been hospitalized during the pandemic.

Cases elsewhere in Virginia:

• 8,020 in Fairfax County — up 177 since Monday.

Prince William County, 3,934.

Arlington County, 1,688.

City of Alexandria, 1,544.

Loudoun County, 1,527.

Henrico County, 1,299.

Chesterfield County, 1,043.

City of Richmond, 811.

Accomack County, 701.

City of Manassas, 680.

City of Harrisonburg, 647.

Virginia Beach, 559.

Stafford County, 501.

Buckingham County, 419.

Rockingham County, 401.

City of Chesapeake, 396.

City of Norfolk, 370.

Spotsylvania County, 339.

Shenandoah County, 329.

City of Suffolk, 269.

Richmond County, 265.

City of Portsmouth, 237.

Hanover County, 232.

James City County (including Williamsburg), 232.

Frederick County, 223.

City of Newport News, 209.

Northampton County, 204.

City of Manassas Park, 202.

Mecklenburg County, 178.

Page County, 165.

City of Hampton, 164.

Albemarle County, 141.

Southampton County, 137.

City of Roanoke, 135.

Isle of Wight County, 119.

Nationwide as of Tuesday morning:

1,508,957 cases.

• 90,369 deaths.

• 283,178patients have recovered.

• 11.83 million tests conducted.

Deaths in Virginia will total 1,980 by Aug. 4, according to one study, which puts the nation’s projected death toll at 143,357 on that date. The state’s cases will peak between mid-July and late August, according to University of Virginia researchers.
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DougF · May 20, 2020 at 11:07 am
Silii, your first sentence makes it seem like a positive test is not a factor in the opening of a new case. I understand that positive tests of out-of-state resident will not increase Virginia's case count, that antibody test results will not increase case counts. With those exceptions, are you saying that ALL cases are opened prior to testing based on a physician's opinion on symptomology? If so, are cases opened on all outpatients before test results are known? Alternatively, do positive tests of outpatients NOT increase the case count?
Silii · May 20, 2020 at 10:16 am
Testing identifies cases, it doesn't increase the number of cases. Example: 10 people are infected, 5 get tested and show positive. That increases the number of confirmed positives, not the actual number of positives. Contact tracing considers the infections period to begin 2 days prior to symptoms appearing through a minimum of 10 days plus 3 consecutive days without a fever and no meds to control a fever. That's why social distancing and facemasks are vital - a person can be in their infectious stage before symptoms begin. So, that person you were laughing with and leaning into while having a cocktail or dinner Friday or Saturday evening on Main Street could have infected you.

Also, if you are getting an outpatient medical procedure in a hospital or other outpatient surgical center or facility, you will be required to get a covid19 test before being allowed to have the procedure. So, the number of negative results is going to start creeping up because more hospitals and surgical clinics are reopening for routine/elective procedures.
Linda Ward · May 19, 2020 at 11:04 am
DougF - I agree yet yesterday you said very few people in Virginia are getting tested even though the tests are available. That can only mean that people are walking around now, social gathering, going to restaurants, that are potentially infected and are infecting others. In the large scheme of things, the numbers will go back up if people do not get tested now to see if they are carriers.
DougF · May 19, 2020 at 10:26 am
Linda, it's important to realize a few things.

1) When infections > discovered infections (cases), more cases is a good thing. It identifies those who are contagious so something can be done to reduce the subsequent infections.

Now that tests are widely available I encourage everyone to get tested. Although that will increase cases, it will not increase infections. Instead, it will reduce subsequent infections.

(2) The state did not have 27 deaths yesterday. Instead, 27 deaths were reported to VDH yesterday. Reports of deaths lag the actual date of death by days to weeks. To view the trend in deaths by date of death you can look at the VDH report. According to "Deaths by Event Date", deaths peaked around 30 April.

(3) The VDH report reveals that the percentage of positive tests continues the decline which began weeks ago.

From the information in the VDH report we've passed the peak and are on the downslope. Hopefully we will follow Florida's and Georgia's lead and continue on the downslope through the opening.

Linda Ward · May 19, 2020 at 9:44 am
How are we flattening the curve, 20 more cases in Fauquier County, 27 more deaths statewide in ONE DAY?
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