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July 29, 2020

999 new COVID-19 cases, 30 more deaths in Virginia

The Virginia Department of Health on Wednesday reported 30 new COVID-19 deaths, the highest one-day total in three weeks.
Curbside Testing
• Where: Piedmont Urgent Care, 493 Blackwell Road, Warrenton

• When: 8 a.m. to 8 p.m. daily

• Process: Patients can remain in their vehicles while healthcare professionals collect samples with swabs.

• Organizers: Rappahannock-Rapidan Health District and local partners, including medical practices, Fauquier Health, the free clinic, PATH Foundation and local government.

• Phone: 540-347-5200

• COVID questions: 540-316-6302 or .(JavaScript must be enabled to view this email address)
Wednesday morning COVID-19 update from the Virginia Department of Health:

570 total cases in Fauquier County since the pandemic began — up 2 from Tuesday.

87,993 Virginia cases — up 999 since Tuesday. The total includes 84,700 confirmed and 3,293 “probable” infections.

2,125 deaths statewide — up 30 from Tuesday and the highest one-day total since July 9, when the department reported 32 new fatalities. Of the fatalities, the health department classified COVID-19 as the confirmed cause in 2,020 and “probable” in 105.

1,073,463 diagnostic tests statewide — up 17,315 since Tuesday. Over the past seven days, 7.1 percent of those tests were positive, trending downward.

Statewide hospitalizations for COVID-19 over the course of the pandemic totaled 7,738 as of Wednesday, up 52 since Tuesday.

But, the health department notes that its hospitalization figure — based on status at the time each case gets investigated — “underrepresents” the actual total.

Since the pandemic began, 11,650 “confirmed COVID-19 patients have been hospitalized and discharged,” according to the Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association.

State hospitals housed 1,350 infected patients Wednesday — up 56 from Tuesday, according to the association.

That puts total Virginia hospitalizations during the pandemic at 13,000.

Virginia hospitalizations for COVID-19 peaked at 1,625 patients on May 8.

Healthcare providers and laboratories report statistics to the state as of 5 p.m. each day. The health department updates its report the following morning.

Thirty-four infected Fauquier patients have been hospitalized and 8 have died since the pandemic started.

In the Rappahannock-Rapidan Health District, which includes Fauquier:

• 934 cases, 72 hospitalizations and 12 deaths in Culpeper.

• 204 infections, 15 hospitalizations and 3 deaths in Orange.

• 58 infections, 5 hospitalizations and 1 death in Madison.

• 40 cases and 4 hospitalizations and 2 deaths in Rappahannock.

The district has 26 COVID-19 deaths, and 130 infected patients have been hospitalized during the pandemic.

The health department reported 21,194 diagnostic tests in the district so far, up 1,235 from Tuesday. Over the last seven days, 3.9 percent of tests conducted in the five-county district were positive, trending upward.


Cases elsewhere in Virginia:

• 15,570 in Fairfax County — up 61 since Tuesday.

Prince William County, 8,724.

Loudoun County, 4,965.

Virginia Beach, 3,908.

Chesterfield County, 3,829.

Henrico County, 3,466.

City of Norfolk, 2,937.

Arlington County, 2,857.

City of Richmond, 2,831.

City of Alexandria, 2,749.

City of Chesapeake, 2,348.

City of Manassas, 1,586.

City of Newport News, 1,519.

City of Portsmouth, 1,390.

Spotsylvania County, 1,271.

Stafford County, 1,227.

Accomack County, 1,072.

City of Harrisonburg, 1,037.

City of Suffolk, 989.

City of Hampton, 963.

Rockingham County, 878.

City of Roanoke, 780.

Albemarle County, 724.

Shenandoah County, 665.

Frederick County, 644.

James City County (including Williamsburg), 627.

Buckingham County, 592.

Hanover County, 579.

City of Manassas Park, 493.

Henry County, 461.

City of Charlottesville, 443.

Roanoke County, 414.

Greensville County, 411.

City of Petersburg, 411.

City of Lynchburg, 392.

City of Winchester, 390.

Warren County, 344.

City of Fredericksburg, 340.

Page County, 330.

City of Galax, 327.

Prince George County, 327.

Isle of Wight County, 318.

Richmond County, 315.

Carroll County, 303.

Mecklenburg County, 303.

Northampton County, 297.

Pittsylvania County, 296.

York County, 290.

Prince Edward County, 289.

City of Danville, 278.

Sussex County, 271.

Montgomery County, 260.

Bedford County, 255.

City of Hopewell, 253.

Augusta County, 245.

Southampton County, 229.

Dinwiddie County, 195.

Westmoreland County, 192.

Brunswick County, 188.

Botetourt County, 182.

Caroline County, 177.

City of Colonial Heights, 175.

Fluvanna County, 170.

Nottoway County, 168.

Louisa County, 165.

City of Waynesboro, 165.

City of Emporia, 164.

Washington County, 157.

City of Martinsville, 156.

Franklin County, 150.

Goochland County, 149.

City of Staunton, 139.

Gloucester County, 138.

Greene County, 134.

Campbell County, 131.

Halifax County, 128.

City of Salem, 128.

Grayson County, 123.

King George County, 119.

Powhatan County, 118.

City of Franklin, 115.

New Kent County, 112.

Patrick County, 104.


Nationwide as of Tuesday:

4,362,006 cases.

• 149,375 deaths.

• 1,355,363 have recovered.

• 52.98 million tests conducted.

Member comments
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badelectronics · July 31, 2020 at 11:16 am
@PabloCruz: Come on. How can you get a better more learned person than Stella Emmanuel, M.D., and she has the best information, and the information is approved by our President? I'm sure that @DougF will cite her as a source soon and by GOD he should!!!

https://www.thedailybeast.com/stella-immanuel-trumps-new-covid-doctor-believes-in-alien-dna-demon-sperm-and-hydroxychloroquine
PabloCruz · July 31, 2020 at 8:06 am
DougF-Let's take a walk down memory lane, shall we?

Remember when you said this? Turns out, critics were right, you were wrong. Florida did indeed turn into "the next New York catastrophe."

"DougF · May 22, 2020 at 2:45 pm
I'm amazed at how much better Florida is doing than Virginia. Florida, widely considered and derided early on to be the next New York catastrophe, is a success story. Consider these differences between Florida and Virginia:

Testing per OOO:
Florida 39
Virginia 29

Positive test % reported, 7 day average, past two days:
Florida 2% each day
Virginia 13-14% each day

Deaths per 000:
Florida .102
Virginia .133

Long Term Care deaths per 000 patients
Florida 1%
Virginia 2%

% of total deaths from Long Term Care
Florida 43%
Virginia 60%

Finally, Florida entered Phase 2 without problems. Restaurants are open for inside service at 50% of capacity. Gyms are open. Libraries are open.

By any objective measure, DeSantis did a great job."


Next, we had this one. You also kindly provided us with one of your wonderful studies to back up your claim. Turns out, you were wrong again. You even criticized the media for demonizing Hydroxy. Dr. Fauci recently stated that Hydroxy demonstrated no benefit to Covid-19 patients, when compared to the control group.

"DougF · July 3, 2020 at 11:52 am
Previous threads had comments questioning the effectiveness of Hydroxychloroquine.

A new study, peer reviewed and recently published, shows that Hydroxychloroquine works. The study consisted of a large-scale retrospective analysis of 2,541 patients hospitalized between March 10 and May 2, 2020 in six hospitals. It found 13% of those treated with hydroxychloroquine alone died compared to 26.4% not treated with hydroxychloroquine.

Question: How many people died because the drug was demonized in the media and by politicians and their followers?

Politicizing science can cost lives.

Link: https://www.henryford.com/news/2020/07/hydro-treatment-study"


And now, DougF, against overwhelming scientific and empirical evidence, you continue to cast doubt on the wearing of masks.

On predictions, you're 0 for 2. Do you remember the old saying about credibility; it takes a lifetime to build it, but only a moment to lose it. Once you do lose your credibility, it's very difficult to rebuild. You have a lot of work ahead of you.
DougF · July 30, 2020 at 9:54 pm
PabloCruz -- You are all over the map.

First you provide a study that relies on correlation, and now you say that is not weak evidence. Unbelievable.

Next, you suggest that people be manipulated by not telling them the full scope of knowledge regarding masks.

From there we go to you obviously not understanding the Precautionary Principle and how it is used; instead, you refer to "precaution".

I'm amused that you refer to "M.Ds, PhDs, etc." and ignore the fact that not all hold the same view as you.

I'm also convinced that you do not read any information that might conflict with your view. You obviously did not read the link I provided. If you had, you would have seen that Norway undertook an extensive review of the literature, and concluded:

"There is no reliable evidence of the effectiveness of non-medical facemasks in community settings."

I expect that you don't keep up with current events, either. Here's a story for you: "The Dutch government on Wednesday said it will not advise the public to wear masks to slow the spread of coronavirus, asserting that their effectiveness has not been proven." https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-netherlands/dutch-government-will-not-advise-public-to-wear-masks-minister-idUSKCN24U2UJ

Finally, when you are unable to respond otherwise you react by questioning motives.

That's telling.

Thomas Sowell said "One of the painful signs of years of dumbed-down education is how many people are unable to make a coherent argument. They can vent their emotions, question other people's motives, make bold assertions, repeat slogans, anything except reason."

badelectronics · July 30, 2020 at 7:44 pm
@AngryBob: "Our gun grabbing sheets wearing liberal state government is drunk on power and needs to be stopped. When the pendulum swings the other way, I hope our clear thinking rational republican legislature revokes future governor's power to do this."

You can't be serious. Who has and how many guns have been grabbed? Who are the sheets wearing people you speak of?
badelectronics · July 30, 2020 at 7:41 pm
@PabloCruz: I'm with DougF on this. I heard Herman Cain saying not too long ago that masks were BS. I believe Herman Cain!

I've always wondered why doctors wear masks when they do surgery.
PabloCruz · July 30, 2020 at 6:38 pm
DougF-I have no problem debating, but you just proved my point; that dueling studies are pointless because you will attempt to discredit every study that is provided to you. You stated that the science on masks is weak, but the opposite is true. Since you are taking the position that you have the expertise to judge these multiple studies, conducted by M.Ds, PhDs, etc. as flawed, then you should present your credentials to the audience here. At the end of the day there is such a thing as authority, medical and otherwise. I trust the preponderance of the evidence, which supports wearing masks. Even if I had the time (which I don’t) to hold your hand, and lead you to every piece of evidence, you wouldn’t believe it. The problem with authority appears to be yours.
DougF · July 30, 2020 at 12:15 pm
PabloCruz -- So when you can't debate you make false claims, saying that I am against masks when you know that my position is that the science is so weak the precautionary principle applies.

When I provide weaknesses in the study you provide, you say you don't think dueling studies would be useful. They you provide more studies to be dueled.

Interestingly, all you've done so far to support your position is by appealing to authority. No reason. No logic.

If I refute the links you provided you may simply shout your false claim even louder. Or perhaps you will gin up another false claim. Obviously, reason and debate are lost on you.

PabloCruz · July 30, 2020 at 11:45 am
DougF-My key point is that masks work, and there’s plenty of evidence to support that belief. So much so, that every reputable medical organization recommends wearing masks (of all different types depending upon the situation) to slow the spread of Covid-19.

You don’t believe that masks work, but then you couch your belief by saying that you’re not against masks. If you don’t believe that masks work, then there’s no reason to support their use; so just state your position.

I stated that dueling studies would not be helpful, because you don’t believe masks work, and I don’t think you are open to changing your position, but I will grant you the benefit of the doubt since I don’t know you.
Here are more references, in case you’re interested.

https://www.fau.edu/newsdesk/articles/efficacy-facemasks-coronavirus.php

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseases/coronavirus/coronavirus-face-masks-what-you-need-to-know%3famp=true

https://www.ucsf.edu/news/2020/06/417906/still-confused-about-masks-heres-science-behind-how-face-masks-prevent

https://www.mayoclinic.org/diseases-conditions/coronavirus/in-depth/coronavirus-mask/art-20485449

https://www.fau.edu/newsdesk/articles/efficacy-facemasks-coronavirus.php

Linda Ward · July 30, 2020 at 9:57 am
Thank you to everyone that is following the rules to prevent the spread of COVID-19. It's not much but it's the least we can do for each other.

Sympathy to anyone who has lost a loved one or friend to this virus, and empathy to anyone recovering that did their best to prevent the spread of COVID-19 but contracted it anyway due to the negligence and ignorance of others.

Be well, be safe.
DougF · July 30, 2020 at 9:29 am
PabloCruz, your key point seem to be that spreading the fruits of research and debating points (a path to truth) is wrong because it leads away from the path that you deem best. I disagree. The search for knowledge and dissemination of that knowledge is the best way to support compliance. Rather than say evidence supports a certain view when it does not, say that cloth face masks are recommended because although we don't know if they are effective or not, while we are seeking the answer we want masks worn because the potential benefit from their use is more than worth the inconvenience of wearing them.

Honesty is the best policy.
ConcernedMom · July 30, 2020 at 9:24 am
CDC recommend 100% cotton be used for face coverings. Stop going in places with a mask and then take them off! If you don't want to wear one keep your butt home! If everyone does their part we possibly could have had this crap stopped. Do your part or stop boo hoping about wanting normalcy.
AngryBob · July 30, 2020 at 8:51 am
First, if you have a cough, STAY HOME!

I don't oppose masks, I oppose the mask *mandate*. For these reasons.

1. When it went into effect, people stopped distancing. It used to be quiet at the grocery store and everybody stayed apart. Now they're all talking loud again and getting right up into each others faces.

2. A scarf is not a mask. Nor is a bandana, t-shirt, or a mask with a vent. For a real mask, it has to fit. AND IT HAS TO COVER THE NOSE, IDIOTS.

3. I reject that the governor has the authority to mandate *anything*. Our gun grabbing sheets wearing liberal state government is drunk on power and needs to be stopped. When the pendulum swings the other way, I hope our clear thinking rational republican legislature revokes future governor's power to do this.
Sammy · July 30, 2020 at 8:51 am
who needs studies? donkfarmer assures virus is hoax ending after election day

giving reminder: republican party of virginia reports sub-$2,000 bank balance for 2nd consecutive quarter

if you get a pre-election Trump check return the favor and send one to the RPV, corp welfare +1 trillion already paid (first in line with hands out) but did not share with virginia republican party

jeffersonian americans and boogaloo bois: don Hawaiian shirt, collect for RPV under big Culpeper tree, gotta water that liberty tree with something other than gunpowder, cupboards are bare

almost like they forgot the election -- Freitas forgot to file paperwork for 2nd time in a row, nice of VA election board to waive the law -- again -- and let bad Bob Good slide along

sadly absenct from carnival: only sane one of the bunch, decent congressman riggleman .. we barely got to know you before you were kneecapped from the cheap seats .. cautionary tale for jill vogel, elephants never forget
PabloCruz · July 29, 2020 at 8:49 pm
DougF-We can play dueling-studies, if you want to. But I don’t think that would be useful. You stated that you’re not against masks, but if you keep saying that there is no evidence to support the use of masks, then you are in effect making a de facto argument against masks, (otherwise why would you keep repeating this belief?)
By placing doubt on the efficacy of eye protection, you are doing the same thing. Eye protection is not 100% effective, but it can stop bodily fluids from getting into the eyes, a common route of exposure.

A mask mandate carries far less weight if it is presented as a precaution, rather than an evidence-based preventive measure, meaning less people will take it seriously and comply. I would suggest that tactic is not in the best interest of public health.

JuanCordoba · July 29, 2020 at 7:03 pm
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DougF · July 29, 2020 at 6:21 pm
Pablo, that reference relies primarily on correlation in a few select locations. It ignored other locations that did not support the result the study creators wanted. For example: Shelby county, TN -- early June, 5500 cases, July 1, mask order issued and 9000 cases, yesterday, 19700 cases. Even if they did select a representative same of locations, the reliance on correlation is flawed because (1) it does not control other variables, such as hand washing, compliance, mask washing, etc etc, and (2) it does not demonstrate causation.

I think it's significant that there's no good evidence for the infection load necessary for an infection. If it is extremely low, even the 80% reduction you might not mean much in terms of cloth face coverings reducing community spread. If it is high (as evidenced by expert opinion that someone has to be in close proximity to an infected person for at least 10 minutes), a mask is only necessary in the very few high risk situations rather than all public situations.

To be clear, I'm not arguing against masks. I'm just saying that the Precautionary Principle is the rationale supporting cloth face covering mandates.

Finally, here's reference for you: Norwegian Institute of Public Health https://www.fhi.no/globalassets/dokumenterfiler/rapporter/2020/should-individuals-in-the-community-without-respiratory-symptoms-wear-facemasks-to-reduce-the-spread-of-covid-19-report-2020.pdf
PabloCruz · July 29, 2020 at 5:55 pm
DougF-Here’s one reference for you: https://medical.mit.edu/covid-19-updates/2020/07/do-cloth-masks-work
There’s plenty more studies that show masks do slow community spread. We have a lot more knowledge and data now than we did 3 months ago. To your point about the governor’s mask order, let’s look at the empirical evidence. Most of the people that I see out and about are wearing masks. It’s true, some wear bandanas or something like that, but the vast majority are in masks. Don’t let the perfect be the enemy of the good.
DougF · July 29, 2020 at 5:39 pm
PabloCruz, the Governor mandated "cloth face coverings" that cover the mouth and nose. He did not require any specific design or material. I expect that your 80% number, to the extent is is supported, is based on a specific mask design and material. Under the Governor's order, a bandana made out of single layer fishnet is OK.

The issue isn't whether "masks work", it's whether the cloth face coverings chosen by the population, with compliance and management (e.g. cleaning) at the level seen in the population, reduce community spread.

I haven't seen any such evidence. Have you?
PabloCruz · July 29, 2020 at 4:52 pm
Masks block up to 80% of large droplets being expelled from the mouth when talking, coughing, etc. No, they are not 100%, but they are an important part of an overall strategy of reducing the spread of Covid-19.
Masks work. Full stop.
DougF · July 29, 2020 at 4:34 pm
Dr. Fauci intimated today that the next step might be wearing goggles or other eye protection.

Similar to masks, there's a lack of evidence that the virus will be blocked by eye protection of random design and random material. I expect that, like masks, the precautionary principle will be the rationale behind any recommendation.
Tony Bentley · July 29, 2020 at 1:25 pm
If you don't want to wear a mask, FINE, but stay away from other people everywhere, like grocery stores, home, etc. You may think you are special but the rest of us are doing our part to protect others. No MASK, no entry to businesses or to home.
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